Interest rates, inflation, and the macro policy that moves every market.
Account○No passkey — create one
USDC on Arc—
Unified NAV · Arc + Polygon$66,500.56
◆Gas paid in USDC
Amount to enter
USDC
No Fed r 50% ·$125.00Rate-sensitive 30% ·$75.00Store-of-value 20% ·$50.00
You pay$250.00
Non-custodial · neutral YES+NO set, delivered to your wallet.
Macro & Fed Sentiment Gap
gap4 pts↑ asset
The crowd's odds — a weighted blend across 5 markets · polymarket + kalshi (Polymarket + Kalshi) — sit at 10%(6–14%); TLT sits at the 18th percentile of its analyst band ($76–$112). The gap is a divergence signal — not a probability or trade recommendation.
0%
100%
Belief · the crowd's oddsi10%range 6–14%
TLT · percentile in analyst band18th
The asset runs hotter than belief.
Macro & Fed securities · analyst bands
Relevant off-chain securities plotted against their published analyst bear→bull bands. The belief band is the crowd's odds across 5 markets · polymarket + kalshi, centered at 10% — distance from it to each ◆ is the sentiment gap. Tokenized stocks are off our EVM rails — display-only, buying coming soon.
bearbullbelief 10%
SPY○ coming soon
$773.32$600–$860 · 67th
GLD○ coming soon
$399.06$300–$460 · 62th
HYG○ coming soon
$79.63$70–$92 · 44th
TLT★○ coming soon
$82.62$76–$112 · 18th
Macro & Fed on-chain assets
Relevant tokenized assets on-chain, securities first. ● buyable = addable to the basket now on Polygon-Uniswap; ○ coming soon = real on-chain assets on other ecosystems we plan to integrate but can't add yet — each tagged with where it trades and its market depth.
Real-world assets
PAXGPAX Gold
○ coming soonEthereummed liquidity
Tokenized gold (1 troy oz) — the on-chain inflation/rates hedge; deep on Ethereum, thin Polygon bridge — not a basket leg yet.
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sDAISavings DAI
○ coming soonEthereumlow liquidity
Maker savings-rate token — a pure on-chain proxy for the policy rate; meaningful depth on Ethereum only.
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USDYOndo US Dollar Yield
○ coming soonEthereumlow liquidity
Tokenized short-term US Treasuries — the marquee on-chain rates RWA; KYC/permissioned, not freely swappable.
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Major crypto
WBTCWrapped Bitcoin
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable store-of-value hedge on Uniswap (Polygon).
$64,585
WETHWrapped Ether
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable rate-sensitive risk asset on Uniswap (Polygon).
$1,915
wstETHLido Wrapped Staked ETH
○ coming soonPolygonlow liquidity
Routable via Uniswap (it powers our standalone prize swap) but has no direct USDC.e pool for the fixed-fee sleeve — not a basket leg yet.