Interest rates, inflation, and the macro policy that moves every market.
Account○No passkey — create one
USDC on Arc—
Unified NAV · Arc + Polygon$88,476.26
◆Gas paid in USDC
Amount to enter
USDC
No Fed r 50% ·$125.00Rate-sensitive 30% ·$75.00Store-of-value 20% ·$50.00
You pay$250.00
Non-custodial · neutral YES+NO set, delivered to your wallet.
Macro & Fed Sentiment Gap
gap0 ptsaligned
The crowd's odds — a weighted blend across 5 markets · polymarket + kalshi (Polymarket + Kalshi) — sit at 5%(2–8%); TLT sits at the 4th percentile of its analyst band ($76–$112). The gap is a divergence signal — not a probability or trade recommendation.
0%
100%
Belief · the crowd's oddsi5%range 2–8%
TLT · percentile in analyst band4th
Belief and the asset are aligned.
Macro & Fed securities · analyst bands
Relevant off-chain securities plotted against their published analyst bear→bull bands. The belief band is the crowd's odds across 5 markets · polymarket + kalshi, centered at 5% — distance from it to each ◆ is the sentiment gap. Tokenized stocks are off our EVM rails — display-only, buying coming soon.
bearbullbelief 5%
SPY○ coming soon
$769.64$600–$860 · 65th
GLD○ coming soon
$380.14$300–$460 · 50th
HYG○ coming soon
$76.91$70–$92 · 31th
TLT★○ coming soon
$77.48$76–$112 · 4th
Macro & Fed on-chain assets
Relevant tokenized assets on-chain, securities first. ● buyable = addable to the basket now on Polygon-Uniswap; ○ coming soon = real on-chain assets on other ecosystems we plan to integrate but can't add yet — each tagged with where it trades and its market depth.
Real-world assets
PAXGPAX Gold
○ coming soonEthereummed liquidity
Tokenized gold (1 troy oz) — the on-chain inflation/rates hedge; deep on Ethereum, thin Polygon bridge — not a basket leg yet.
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sDAISavings DAI
○ coming soonEthereumlow liquidity
Maker savings-rate token — a pure on-chain proxy for the policy rate; meaningful depth on Ethereum only.
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USDYOndo US Dollar Yield
○ coming soonEthereumlow liquidity
Tokenized short-term US Treasuries — the marquee on-chain rates RWA; KYC/permissioned, not freely swappable.
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Major crypto
WBTCWrapped Bitcoin
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable store-of-value hedge on Uniswap (Polygon).
$85,751
WETHWrapped Ether
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable rate-sensitive risk asset on Uniswap (Polygon).
$2,726
wstETHLido Wrapped Staked ETH
○ coming soonPolygonlow liquidity
Routable via Uniswap (it powers our standalone prize swap) but has no direct USDC.e pool for the fixed-fee sleeve — not a basket leg yet.