Non-custodial · neutral YES+NO set, delivered to your wallet.
Geopolitics & Conflict Sentiment Gap
gap0 ptsaligned
The crowd's odds — a weighted blend across 6 markets · polymarket + kalshi (Polymarket + Kalshi) — sit at 56%(38–75%); ITA sits at the 39th percentile of its analyst band ($150–$300). The gap is a divergence signal — not a probability or trade recommendation.
0%
100%
Belief · the crowd's oddsi56%range 38–75%
ITA · percentile in analyst band39th
Belief and the asset are aligned.
Geopolitics & Conflict securities · analyst bands
Relevant off-chain securities plotted against their published analyst bear→bull bands. The belief band is the crowd's odds across 6 markets · polymarket + kalshi, centered at 56% — distance from it to each ◆ is the sentiment gap. Tokenized stocks are off our EVM rails — display-only, buying coming soon.
bearbullbelief 56%
ITA★○ coming soon
$207.79$150–$300 · 39th
LMT○ coming soon
$505.41$503–$756 · 1th
RTX○ coming soon
$184.68$200–$265 · 0th
NOC○ coming soon
$478$525–$815 · 0th
Geopolitics & Conflict on-chain assets
Relevant tokenized assets on-chain, securities first. ● buyable = addable to the basket now on Polygon-Uniswap; ○ coming soon = real on-chain assets on other ecosystems we plan to integrate but can't add yet — each tagged with where it trades and its market depth.
Real-world assets
PAXGPAX Gold
○ coming soonEthereummed liquidity
Tokenized gold — the classic geopolitical safe-haven; deep on Ethereum, thin Polygon bridge — not a basket leg yet.
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XAUTTether Gold
○ coming soonEthereummed liquidity
Tokenized gold safe-haven — trades on CEX + Ethereum DEXes; no Polygon venue yet.
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Major crypto
WBTCWrapped Bitcoin
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable digital safe-haven on Uniswap (Polygon).
$85,751
WETHWrapped Ether
● buyablePolygonhigh liquidity
Buyable risk asset on Uniswap (Polygon).
$2,726
wstETHLido Wrapped Staked ETH
○ coming soonPolygonlow liquidity
Routable via Uniswap (it powers our standalone prize swap) but has no direct USDC.e pool for the fixed-fee sleeve — not a basket leg yet.
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Prediction Marketsin basket above
●Mojtaba Khamenei is Iran's head of state at end of 2026●live ·Polymarket ↗
87%YES
53%index weight
●Nicolás Maduro is Venezuela's leader at end of 2026●live ·Polymarket ↗